10.07.2004

DEAD HEAT IN OHIO: Three polls of likely Ohio voters published in the last week show the Presidential race in this state is dead even, with less than 5% of voters still undecided.

The following results are from statewide samples of likely voters conducted by telephone (the Columbus Dispatch also released a poll last Friday, but it was conducted by mail.) They are for a two-way race between Bush and Kerry... Nader is off the ballot in these polls, as he is (so far) in reality.
American Research Group, in a poll completed yesterday, found 48% Kerry, 48% Bush, 4% other or undecided.

Survey USA, in a poll completed Monday for two radio stations (one of which was Cleveland Channel 3), found 49% Kerry, 48% Bush, 3% other or undecided.

And Rasmussen Reports' seven-day tracking poll, completed Saturday, found 47% Kerry, 48% Bush, 5% other or undecided.
Remember, these results are for "likely voters" -- not all registered voters. Many people, including me, think the massive voter registration and turnout efforts by Kerry supporters this year will add a lot of "unlikely" Democratic voters to the final turnout.

Want to amaze and bore your friends with obsessively up-to-the-minute poll results? The information above is all from 2004k.com, one of a number of sites keeping track of state-by-state polling results on a daily basis. I also check out www.electoral-vote.com. But then, we all know I need a real hobby.